To: The Right Honourable Swiss National Bank
President Mr. Thomas Jordon
From: Athinarayanan Sanjeevraja
Date: November 12, 2018
RE: Inflation
Suggestion:
Mr.
President let me start by paying my respects to you and through you to. The
Swiss National Bank introduced a unique monetary policy framework which is
based on inflation forecast in 2000. It was successful most of the time in
reaching its mail goal. Swiss inflation hit to 1.2% for the first time since
2011. If I am not mistaken, soaring oil prices, more expensive imports and SNB exchange
rate intervention drove Swiss inflation to 1.2%. Swiss inflation momentum is
improving gradually. I do expect that Swiss inflation will range from 1 to 1.3
over the next couple of years. PPP (Purchasing Power Parity) will compensate
for the difference in inflation between the currency zones. I fervently hope
that Hon. President to keep inflation in check and to ensure the health of
Swiss financial market. IMHO, price stability not as an end in itself but Hon.
President should showed disciplined and reflected commitment to the goal of
effectively and predictably stable prices. And also means of achieving stable
and sustainable Swiss growth. There are many research concluded that the
exchange rate intervention did indeed enhance into inflation. Svensson (2000)
pointed out the success of exchange rate intervention lies in the inflation
expectation. As an Analyst I do believe that exchange rate intervention is a
convenient unconventional monetary policy tool. In my humble request to Hon.
President, the exchange rate intervention should not stop until the SNB reaches
its inflation goal.
Thank
you very much for your attention.
Respectfully
yours
Athinarayanan
Sanjeevraja.
Athinarayanan
Twitter
Athinarayanan
Advisory Authority.
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