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UK BREXIT DEAL WITH THE EU


To:     The Right Honourable British Prime Minister Hon. Theresa May

From: Athinarayanan Sanjeevraja

Date: December 06, 2018

RE:     The UK BREXIT Deal with the EU

Suggestion:
Hon. Prime Minister, let me start by paying my respects to you and through you to. One of your former Cabinet Minister Ms. Priti Patel is completely disingenuous and polemic passage. She misrepresented that the US is UK’s biggest national export market. The world knew that the EU is the UK’s largest export market. There is a difference between hearing a balanced argument and giving credence to falsehoods. Ms. Priti Patel is a third rated Indians, particularly north Indians are fraud, liars, moron and consistently mendacious. Mark my words. More than 90 percent Indians are fraud, corrupted, thief, and dishonesty.  If you promoted Indians in your cabinet, The UK will become like India in the future. North Indians will destroy your country and their arguments are beggar’s belief. If I am not mistaken, she dismissed for running her own independent foreign policy. She was a Cabinet Minister for a while. She hadn’t read the ministerial code and didn’t realise that freelance negotiations with foreign powers were not allowed in the UK. It is unbelievable that she have been in the UK government without a clout of basic economic and legal principles. She does not understand that border checks have as much to do with. Collecting tariffs an ensuring imports meet regulatory health and safety requirements that the UK have a land border with the EU that putting the border infrastructure on that border would return the UK to the troubles. You have only recently resolved. The EU’s Canada option is conditional on a border between Northern Ireland and the rest of the UK. It is odd that she does not even know that. The Canada trade deal was conditional on tough agreements on labour and environmental protection. This would preclude the sort of deregulation she was talking about it. The real minister has a duty to lead in interests of the UK and ignore the appalling damage of no deal. Third rated North Indians will damage the image of the UK. Uk has a privileged positions in most international bodies. Third rated North Indians will damage the image of the UK. Her stupid ideological leave campaign against the EU makes things much more difficult for the UK businesses and losing income for the UK exchequer. She prepared to drag the UK down. She has failed to publish one piece of evidence which would enable a serious debate on the economic benefits of leaving the EU. She is demonstrating her lack lustre intelligence, shallow thinking and poor attention to BREXIT and disrespect to the honest and discerning the British people. I am all for presenting a fair and balanced debate while addressing the international issues. I do not want to waste my time on demolition of Ms. Priti Patel (third rated North Indians) curious fallacies.

Hon. Prime Minister, you have negotiated the withdrawal agreement nothing more or nothing less. Your BREXIT deal with the EU facilitates the orderly and legal departure of the UK from the EU. In my humble opinion, for the UK to leave the EU bloc on any other terms will be contrary to the international law and will tie the UK up in legal disputes for many years. Remember. 

Hon. Prime Minister, let me put it very clearly the growth of trade with the third rated countries or any corrupted countries is so much faster but their absolute value is so much smaller. Even a small decrease in the UK-EU trade would take many more years to be compensated by growth of trade with third rated and corrupted countries. The EU 27 economy is 10 times the size of the UK. If you want to negotiate a good trade deal with the EU, you are better off doing as part of the EU because it has bigger negotiation power. You must be aware of it, the UK economic system has been intertwined with the EU for 45 years. 45 years of integration is difficult to undo. The UK is a signatory to the Good Friday Agreement (GFA) and it cannot legally allow hard borders between Northern Ireland and Ireland. Have you read the GFA? The GFA says that the status of the Northern Ireland cannot be changed without the consent of the people of Northern Ireland. BREXIT is the deal which breaches the GFA in the real world. EU made it very clear that they back their member states and the backstop is an existential issue for Ireland. If the UK chooses to breach the GFA which is an international treaty, the EU will not cooperate with the UK. No deal BREXIT is actually illegal. The UK signed treaty and if the UK decided to break it, Spain will decide to break the treaty of Utrecht and take back Gibraltar. Mark my words.

Hon. Prime Minister, the UK is a sovereign nation and was in the EU. Treaties are signed by sovereign nations and are enforceable under international law. If the treaty was signed, ratified and then abrogated, the EU could pursue the UK in the ICC. Inevitable the judgement would be against the UK for sure. This would be quite serious for the UK. The EU gave the UK a lifeline to save itself. The UK should take it. BREXIT will carry the Irish border issue as a millstone around its neck permanently and it seeks to maintain a close economic relationship with the EU.  Your BREXIT deal brought peace to Northern Ireland and was an excellent agreement. Backstop can’t have a unilateral way-out or it wouldn’t do the job it’s there for, which is to persuade various parties to trust the UK not to unilaterally set up a hard border in the Ireland. The UK, the EU, all the Northern Ireland political parties especially the DUP do not want hard border in Ireland. The whole point of the backstop was to ally the above mentioned parties fears that there would be a hard border in Ireland. The EU said that the UK will have the backstop until the EU can agree a deal with the UK that will not cause a hard border in Ireland. If I am not mistaken, the DUP agreed to the backstop in December 2017. At the time I have tweeted that it would mean the UK had to stay in the EU customs union and the single market until a way was found to avoid border in Ireland. I believe this concept very long time even before the Uk-EU referendum. If UK MP’s are fool enough to buy your deal, the UK will end with the same awful choice at the end of the transition period as it faces today - a bad deal or no deal. What will be lost forever will be the chance to reverse out of the botched BREXIT negotiation. It is time to inform the British public the truth. In my opinion, BREXITEERS need to stop squabbling and sign up to your BREXIT deal, otherwise, there is now a real possibility of BREXIT collapsing under the weight of its own contradictions. BREXITEERS did not even know about this issue. Even if the UK leaves without a deal, it will be legally obliged to pay your commitments to the EU budget 39 billion Pounds. The UK cannot escape from that. In my humble opinion to you, every MP should be given a copy of the full legal advice so that they need to make an informed judgement on your BREXIT deal.

Hon. Prime Minister, I just heard that the UK High Court accepted the case on the UK-EU referendum result 2016 on an expedited basis. The UK judges are working on getting the 2016 referendum result because of the deceit of the leave campaign. I think oral arguments on December 07, 2018. Full hearing and judgement are as quickly as possible, certainly before the Christmas. If the High Court sees fit to declare the UK-EU referendum invalid, various changes presumably arise. First, the UK’s Article submission is by its own terms, similarly invalid and the withdrawal process is at least paused. Then, Parliament’s promise of a legitimate referendum on BREXIT is shown to have not yet been honoured and to be still due to be enacted. Further, the legislative arrangements for the referendum are still extent on the statutes and may with such amendments as current circumstances require, be refreshed and applied to the provision of a legitimate referendum as was formally promised to the British electorate. If the UK High Court finds against HMG, the whole Parliamentary gridlock is thus resolved and a legitimate referendum has to be provided as a matter of good faith with three options now having substantial support and the British public having far better information than in 2016 and with proper monitoring of campaign funding and fact checking. A very different outcome is to be expected. It is highly impossible to claim any future occurrence about BREXIT until it has happened and making a judgement about which side has the greatest weight of argument. However, Westminster created BREXIT crisis and they should be forced to fix it too.

Hon. Prime Minister, BBC 10 ‘O’ Clock News game of revocation of Article 50. The Article 50 revocation can be completely sincere and in good faith. The good faith requirement means that A50 cannot be revoked as a way to get a better deal. You have a withdrawal agreement on the table and that is the only deal you have. There will be no renegotiation and revocation of Article 50 will not seek to try to change that. But your BREXIT deal is dead if it is voted down by the UK Parliament which leaves no deal. No one credible wants no deal including the EU. But your BREXIT deal could be resurrected if the British public show that they prefer it over no deal or no BREXIT. In those circumstances UK Parliament would have to support it. Your MP’s have already shown that they vote against their own best judgement in those circumstances. So the purpose of revoking A50 is not to get a better deal but it is a last gasp attempt to find a way to get Parliament to accept your BREXIT deal.  

Hon. Prime Minister, you must be aware of that the UK national wealth amounted to 10 percent less on the day after the UK-the EU referendum. The UK’s FDI is decline crucially. I hope that you’ve found a way of coming up with the extra 350 million Pound a week for the NHS.      

Thank you very much for your attention Hon. Prime Minister.

Respectfully yours
Athinarayanan Sanjeevraja.
Athinarayanan Twitter
Athinarayanan Advisory Authority.


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