BREXIT FINAL COUNTDOWN

To:     The Right Honourable UK Prime Minister Mrs. Theresa May

From: Athinarayanan Sanjeevraja

Date: March 25, 2019

RE:     BREXIT FINAL COUNTDOWN

Suggestion:

Hon. Prime Minister, let me start by paying my respects to you and through you to. Well Hon. Prime Minister, you need short extension of Article 50. It would be nigh on impossible to conclude BREXIT deal within 5 days. It would be nigh on impossible removing one or more of your red-lines within 5 days. It would be more logical to agree your BREXIT deal but with implementation conditional upon the UK and the EU referendum in which the choice is your BREXIT deal or remain in the EU. Leaving the EU without a deal would be incredibly risky. You won’t take such a step because your MP’s voted that not to leave the EU without a deal. I guess there is a less chance that the UK might crash out of the EU after April 12, 2019. I just heard from BBC that “EU leaders agreed Article 50 delay plan”. The message here is the EU is much more flexible than BREXITERS. You have very few options available Hon. Prime Minister. Your MPs should vote for the EU withdrawal agreement either with or without caveats. For instance, your MPs should vote for the EU withdrawal agreement or the UK’s intention to rejoin EFTA and remain in the EEA or the UK’s intention to remain in the EU Customs Union. If your MPs failed to find it above mentioned options short extension changes nothing unless the UK and the EU had agreed the BREXIT deal they wanted and needed to legislate. If your MP’s were failed to find a majority for above mentioned options, the EU may grants for long extension. If your MP’s were vote for the second referendum, the EU may grant either a short or long extension because it can’t be achieved in a reasonable timeframe. I have a question in my mind, is there any prospect of legislation being able to pass in short timeframe? In my opinion, short extension of Article 50 will achieve nothing if the above mentioned options failed than the longer extension of Article 50. However, Article 50.3 doesn’t say anything to limit the use of an extension to just one occasion. Please don’t forget that how much of the time was squandered for BREXIT negotiations. You seems to misread BREXIT as a whole from day one as a Prime Minister of the UK. You failed to bring the UK together as a Prime Minister of the UK. You failed to bring your Conservative party together as a Prime Minister of the UK. You failed to gain support for your BREXIT deal as a Prime Minister of the UK. This is not only the failure of the Prime Minister but also failure of the House of Commons. Majority of your MP’s are mediocrity and ineptitude. The message here is UK Parliament chaos completely represents the UK-the EU referendum chaos 2016. In my perspective, creating divisions is your fall back to compensate for endemic incompetence. I can say with confidence that the stupidity wasn’t the UK-the EU referendum 2016. It was the failure of previous government to run the referendum under a normal requirement of supermajority. Sometimes running the referendum at minimum of a 60 percent supermajority would have seen it fail. Some countries are running the referendum two-thirds majority or 80 percent requirement. For instance, if the US wants to amend the US constitution, they need two-third of each house of congress and 80 percent of the state legislature’s to approve it. BREXIT is the utter failure of democracy because running the referendum under a normal requirement of supermajority (51.9% VS 48.1%). It didn’t work out very well. It never works out very well. You seriously need a national debate in the form of the referendum. I do really not understand that holding second referendum is anti-democratic. If you had this thought in your mind, please remove it. I have humbly suggested that more you ask your electorates their opinions about BREXIT the more democracy you have. Asking your electorates to confirm their choice is more democratic. I respectfully suggested that if your MP’s support for second referendum, then let there be second referendum which is going to provide insight on the polarisation in your electorates. Your MP’s are refusing to enact the results of the first referendum. The only thing that makes sense is to let the electorates have the final word of BREXIT through second referendum that would help. More pragmatic people will recognise that the second referendum would be guaranteed to give you certainty and that is the only way forward.          

Hon. Prime Minister, when the House of Commons cannot reach a conclusion on BREXIT, there is logic in that reaching out directly to the UK’s electorates. Let the electorates make the decision through second referendum. There should be a more vote not by your MP’s but by the electorates that would be real democracy. That is the essence of democracy. Don’t forget that history will judge you on your legacy. Better late on running second referendum is more value than never on running second referendum. I want you to be on the right side of the history.     

Hon. Prime Minister, the EU grants a short extension only. In my point of view, short extension based on what has been agreed in the BREXIT deal. But the UK Parliament rejected your BREXIT deal twice. Nothing substantially different BREXIT deal can be negotiated because the GFA and any trade arrangement between the UK and the EU are not compatible. The compatibility of the EU Withdrawal Agreement is a fiction. The UK cannot potential trade deal with the EU without Backstop or the EU Withdrawal Agreement. It is time for the House of Commons either to vote for your BREXIT deal or the UK has to rejoin EFTA and remain in the EEA or the UK remains in the EU if the UK wants potential trade deal with the EU in the future. The UK has prospered within the EU since 1973. The UK should not be in hurry to rush into cliff-edge. I’m pretty sure that the UK can perfectly survive within the EU. It is time for the UK has to decide it wants to partner in the worlds largest and most successful trading partner or not. If the UK wants to extend Article 50 beyond July 2, 2019 the UK government and the UK Parliament has to accept the EU terms or even acknowledge it because it would have to put forwards MEPs. The European Parliament election is to be held between 23 May 2019 and 26 May 2019. From my perspective if the UK wants to extend Article 50 beyond July 2, 2019, it would be the best option to extend Article 50 for longer period because it would the UK to elect MEPs as a member of the EU. If the UK does not participate in the European Parliament elections while still being a member of the EU the legality of the European Parliament election 2019 will certainly be challenged in European Court of Justice (ECJ). Hon. Prime Minister, you must aware that ECJ already ruled that the UK cannot withdraw the Article 50 for tactical reason and then reapply when it suits. I fervently hope that you will take decisive decision on BREXIT to bring the UK more power and influence in the world.         

       

God Bless you! God Bless Great Britain!

Thank you very much for your attention Hon. Prime Minister.

Respectfully yours

Athinarayanan Sanjeevraja.